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Financial markets have gone crazy. While economic fundamentals were still relatively good in 2017, the unpredictability of political leaders has created significant uncertainty and stress on the real economy and the financial markets. Between the Sino-US trade war, the Brexit, the instability of the government in Italy, the changes of government in Austria, Spain or the possibility of new default in Argentina, politics has become the predominant element for investors. Fundamentals of corporations or valuations matter no more, the world revolves around the “tweets” of Trump and populists of all colors.

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  • “Growth” stocks versus +Read More

    “Growth” stocks versus "value" securities: time to take a deeper review

    Investors often distinguish between high growth companies ("growth stocks") and defensive companies ("value shares"). The purpose of this distinction is to take into account the expected future growth in the frame of the valuation of the share price. Indeed, this is the only realistic way to compare a growing company with a company whose business…
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    • Speculative Advice
  • Wealth creation or creation of bubbles? +Read More

    Wealth creation or creation of bubbles?

    Intuitively, changes in company shares should follow changes in company profits. The more a company grows its profits, the greater the creation of shareholder value should be. However, interest rates and injections of liquidity by central banks have distorted this relationship between earnings and stock price development. Here are some examples of well-known values.
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    • Speculative Advice
  • Towards a return of inflation and a rise in interest rates? +Read More

    Towards a return of inflation and a rise in interest rates?

    Since the late 1970s and early 1980s, many developed countries have not experienced inflation. To the contrary, inflation rates have kept falling, dragging interest rates lower. Forty years of disinflation This phenomenon of "disinflation" can be explained by three factors. The first factor is the demographic trend marked by a drop in the number of…
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    • Speculative Advice
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